So I’m a Businessman Now…

13239897_10206649764427440_4778718745279123269_n

 

….Well, only part time, but still it counts.

I’ve always wanted a business of my own.   Sure, I’ll get ideas from time to time about how I should do this or that but I finally nailed something down and started to go after it.   Red Dragon Herbs.  We sell loose leaf tea and make herbal tea blends.   Oh, and we’re going to crack the sprouting seeds market here shortly too.

I suppose necessity kind of dictated it, or at least gave me a strong nudge here.  Immediately after the New Year, my work schedule changed to an eight hour a day, Monday through Friday gig just like everyone else.   Before that it was basically work a couple twelve hour shifts, get a couple days off, work a few more 12 hour shifts, get some more days off, so I had a lot of days (or nights, rather since I worked the night shift) off during the week.

My nights off were the nights that Mary was able to work, so someone would be home watching Henry.   Since I landed a shift from 2pm-10pm every weekday, it made it so Mary wouldn’t be able to keep her job without putting Henry in day care, which we would rather not – for financial and other reasons.   She quit her job in January, except for filling in occasionally as a dental assistant here and there.

So we decided that we should find *something* to bring in some money and decided on this.  We’ve started kind of slow, but once we found out we were accepted into the Des Moines Farmers’ Market, we kicked it into gear and were able to show up on our first market day last Saturday with over two dozen types of tea for sale, with quite a few of them being ones we came up with ourselves.

I had a lot of fun Saturday at the market, despite the unseasonably cold and windy weather.   Although I’m more on the introverted side, I thought I did a pretty good job schmoozing with the customers.   I’ve never worked retail and worked a little bit in sales (which I was terrible at), but I always liked the idea of being in a sales position where you were coming from a position of competency and authority on the material and providing people with thoughtful and honest solutions to their problems.   I think this might be the closest I’ll come to that position.

Anyways, I think our first market day was a success.  Mary did a great job laying out the table and making things look nice – we even had a gay couple tell us that our table looked really nice, which is a feather we’ll put in our cap.   Hopefully as the weather gets nicer we’ll see more customers there and we’ll also learn some ways to get more business coming our way from the 10 or 15 thousand people who come out every Saturday.

General Mattis For President???

Wow, it’s as if someone in a high place actually saw all the “Mattis For President” memes circulating and said “fuck it, why not?”

So the rumor is that some big Republican donors are trying to draft General James “Mad Dog” Mattis to run for president, allegedly because Trump is unacceptable and Cruz, well, it’s not so much that he’s not an “establishment” guy, he’s just kind of a slime ball.   There’s been some rumors that the GOP was seriously considering putting up Mitt Romney and/or Paul Ryan as an alternative to the current two front runners, which wasn’t as well received as they probably thought it would’ve been.

I’m kind of torn on this and a little baffled….

On one hand, I respect the hell out of Mattis.  I served underneath him in Iraq in 2004/5.   He’s someone who will probably go down as a Marine Corps legend of our era and really is an inspiring figure in the way of keeping the warrior spirit of the Marine Corps alive – that’s something that’s really hard to do at the upper levels.   He’s almost like a real-life Chuck Norris joke.

On the other hand, I know it’s a ploy to water down support from Trump…. and it’s a really good ploy too.   I’ve seen/heard a lot of people say something along the lines of “well, this would be a game changer” if Mattis did run.  A Mattis presidency is something that’s been joked about on various military channels of social media, but I think he’s a person I’d go vote for on strength of personality alone.

To be honest, I don’t know anything about his political views but I’m sure they’re almost exactly as you would imagine.  I think he would pull a lot of support from Trump and the thing that baffles me about this is that i think he would even out-Trump Trump.  He’ll make (and has made) off-color statements and hasn’t backed down, intimidate reporters (his knife hand is legendary!) and probably make some, um, pretty bold statements in the way of foreign policy.

Could he win?   Would they expect him to win?  I doubt it.   It would be a way to basically punt until 2020 and not have to deal with Trump or have an ugly loss with Cruz when this guy’s dirty laundry sees the light.   Although we typically revere the war hero turned politician in the US, I think the situation surrounding this one wouldn’t play very well with the other side.   It does kind of have the aura of a South American military coup and Mattis’ blood-and-guts demeanor would probably be a turnoff, compared to say, Colin Powell’s calm and thoughtful demeanor.

With that said, Mattis IS a hell of a leader and an extremely capable guy.   As I excited as I should be about this prospect, I know the only reason they would bring a guy like him into the fray is because they’re afraid of something about Trump.  I guess we’ll wait and see what comes of it.

My prediction:   There will be talk of Mattis for another week or two with no real commitment, but it does enough chipping away at Trump’s support to show *some* fractures.   It’s probably really frustrating that out of all of his “gaffes”, nothing has really stuck.   No one has said “Oh, well, he crossed the line there.   I’m switching to Cruz!”.   The Mattis scare will just show the other side that Trump’s support isn’t 100% solid.

Trump Rally in Chicago Canceled

“Only Donald Trump could turn a placid city like Chicago into a war zone” – someone on Twitter

So as everyone knows, Donald Trump had to cancel his event in Chicago due to protesters.  Apparently he had some trouble in St. Louis as well, an attempted attack in Ohio and some resistance in Kansas City.

From what I’ve been gathering, this has actually been a boost to the Trump campaign.   Although Trump haters got a good chuckle out of it, the majority of Americans saw this and said “Holy shit…” and saw the images of well, America’s potential future worked up into a frenzy.    Although a lot of people said Trump had it coming (which is really racist to assume that minorities can’t respond to things they don’t like in a civilized manner, btw), I think a lot of people were turned off by what they saw and the fact that regular people were attacked for associating with Trump’s views.

It’s also created something of a siege mentality with Trump’s supporters and has kind of fired them up.   To be a Trump supporter has pretty much been groan-worthy socially in most circles from the start, but now that there’s been actual physical assaults it’s just emboldened a block of voters that have been fairly quiet in real life despite the numbers just because of frequent “trump shaming”.    I shit you not, about 1/3 of my facebook feed seems like articles and memes about how terrible Trump is.   He’s always had more support than you hear about just because people usually keep it to themselves…unless they want to step on toes.

There’s also been a jump to get in “the siege” as well, I think.   Rubio and Cruz both said something along the lines of “this doesn’t happen at my rallies” and that’s true – there’s not really anything worth getting worked up over about either one.    The strength and danger of the Trump campaign has probably lured a few people over – do you want to be defiant or kind of flaccid and unassuming?

Speaking of Cruz and Rubio, they probably should have put out some kind of statement condemning the protesters and such because they both actually did lose some supporters over blaming Trump for this.   Although most of their people probably aren’t fond of Trump, they certainly didn’t like what they saw from the other side.    Cruz retracted a bit already and Rubio is already done for anyways.

As far as the protesters, Bernie Sanders is getting some blame.   I have a feeling there’s a bit of a miscommunication here.    I’m sure there were Bernie folks there.   They were probably the ones holding signs and screaming about how mean Trump was.    No big deal, that’s their right.   The ones that were groping women, attacking people, breaking shit, etc. were probably from groups a little further on the left, BLM and/or just thugs.   I wouldn’t blame him for things getting “out of hand”.

And as for Black Lives Matter, it probably just further alienated them from the people who they, well, want to make their lives matter to.    I will give them a bit of a nod because one thing I’ve always thought about them is that they picked soft targets.   Yeah, it’s funny when they disrupt a bunch of hipsters having Sunday brunch but at the same time they know they’ll get absolutely no resistance beyond of a few quivers of “but, but I’m not racist”.    This was actually something where they could get some push-back.

Anyways, it’ll be interesting to see how Tuesday plays out with Illinois, Florida, Missouri and Ohio up for grabs.   I have a feeling that at the very least no one who was planning on voting for Trump when they woke up Friday morning has decided to not vote for him over this.    We’ll see how many people woke up Saturday morning and decided to vote for him though….

Oh, on another note, the idea of making a few disruptive protesters getting shoved around at Trump rallies as a big deal on par with this is a fucking joke.

First Plantings of the Year

So it’s about 50 degrees and sunny on this lovely Sunday morning, so I decided I’d start planting the first things of the year.    Usually I would have a pop-up greenhouse going by now and a couple of cold frames, but that didn’t work out this year.    My greenhouse blew over and tore up the plastic last week and then blew over again the next day.   I can probably patch it up, but it might be done for.

I built a sweet cold frame about four years ago and it started falling apart.   It’s big and kind of bulky, but it works well.   Hopefully I can cobble it back together and maybe I’ll put it up.    Seriously, it is a pain in the ass to move that thing around, plus it barely fits in the bed so it’s kinda hard to get it in right.

Anyways, today I cut a couple juice and milk jugs in half to make tiny greenhouses and started kale, Swiss chard and collard greens.    I also put up a 50 gallon aquarium with spinach, arugula and Parris Island romaine as well as a handful of radishes.

My chickens made it kind of difficult by trying to snatch the seeds out of my hand and trying to scratch up with I just planted.   I kept having to shoo them off.   I’m really hoping they don’t get smart enough to dig under the jugs once they see greenery.

I think I’m going to have to put up a snow fence around the entire garden area to keep both dogs and chickens out.   Last year the dogs were good (finally!) but the chickens pretty much bypassed the dilapidated fencing that was there and had carte blanche over everything eventually.    A store I like is selling snow fence for $50 for 100′, I’m hoping I can get a deal on it now that spring is coming up.

It’s time for fava beans, which are one of my favorites.   They’re great in hummus and falafel or even just with rice (and the right seasonings, of course).   Whenever I hear anything about them I always think of that scene in Midnight Express when Billy asks how long the other prisoners think he’ll be in prison and the senior one tells him that he thinks he’ll “eat a lot more fava beans before you ever see a hamburger again”.   You can use the leaves in salads too, they have a nice slightly-citrusy flavor.    I’m going to hold off on planting them at the moment because I know the chickens will dig them up as soon as I put them down.

Anyways, yeah, this year will have some challenges, just like every other year.   Hopefully this year I can get a better haul than I have the past couple of years.

Red Dragon Herbs – Our New Business

Well, we have a new business venture called Red Dragon Herbs.    We’ll be making herbal tea blends and also sourcing high quality “real tea”.    It’s something we’ve been talking about for a few months and working on bit by bit and finally it’s coming to fruition.

We’re getting a HUGE start with this – we have 11 dates at the Des Moines Farmer’s Market!   This is a big deal – this is one of the biggest and best farmer’s markets in the country.    I think they say anywhere from 10,000 to 30,000 people show up every Saturday during the season.   The whole affair probably covers around 10 blocks and we are fortunate to get a really, really good location – about as good as we could ask for.  Our dates are staggered so we’re basically going to be there every other weekend.

We will also be looking at a few other smaller markets here and there and building an e-store, which I’ve been working on here and there for a while.

I think this is right up my alley.   This business covers so many things that I’m passionate about – plants, health & fitness, history, culture and small-scale agriculture.    The plan is that we will be making videos and blog posts (at www.reddragonherbs.net and our facebook page, facebook.com/reddragonherbsandteas )  that tell the history and stories of the various herbs and teas we use and of course the practical things like how to use them.   For example, we’re working on a Turkish apple tea, so we would talk about the Turkic origins of the apple, the apple in Ottoman lore and such.    I put up a post about Russian Caravan tea and how Russia’s tea obsession ultimately led to expansion into Asia and the Siberian express.

We’ve got a lot of work to do between now and then, but I’m really excited about this.    There will be more later…

Trump Audited for “Being A Christian”?

A couple days ago Donald Trump was interviewed and asked about his taxes, which he claims to have been audited every year for the past twelve.   He made a comment about the IRS probably targeting him for “being a strong Christian”.

This comment seemed to baffle a lot of people….why would the IRS pick him out for being a Christian?   I mean, if you really wanted to stick it to the Christians, would Trump *really* be the guy you’d single out???

After stewing on that response for about all of ten seconds, I think I get:   He’s saying that it’s because he’s not Jewish.

Several things from his campaign make me believe that Der Trumpenfurher is a connoisseur of alternative media (i.e. appearing on Alex Jones and being prone to conspiracy theories) and although I don’t think he has direct white nationalist connections, he seems cozy to the idea that the WN world is behind him on twitter and such, the way he handled David Duke’s endorsement, retweeting something from a handle “white genocide”, etc.

He’s also a WASPy businessman from New York, where that probably does put you on the outside where most of the other movers and shakers are probably Jewish.   A few months ago he told the Jewish Republican something-or-other that he “didn’t want their money” and implied that they acted in their ethnic interests while continuously avoiding or being vague on the subject of Israel, where most Republicans grovel about how much they love Israel and how far they’d shove Netanyahu’s cock down their throat if you elect them.

Putting this all together, I really think that’s what he was implying – that he’s targeted for being “not one of them” in their world.   While I would love to see Trump win the presidency over anyone else in the running, I’d almost like to see him get the nomination taken from him just to see what kind of bombshells he starts dropping.   Grab the popcorn, folks…

Roosh vs. The Media

Last week there was a big uproar on social media about Roosh V from ReturnoftheKings.com and several books about pulling wool in 2nd world nations hosting meetups across the world.   The media presented this non-event as a series of “legalize rape rallies” and referred to Roosh over and over as “pro-rape blogger”.    Roosh responded the other day with a 30 minute press conference where he basically tears the bullshit clickbait media to shreds…it is pretty funny.

Of course this news had the expected results – outrage, “omg, I can’t even!”, people wanting to go to these locations to beat up “pro-rape people”, people posting white knight shit looking for pats on the back, etc, etc.   Roosh himself was doxxed and I believe his parents were as well, which came along with the usual death threats and other hijinks.

Now this Roosh guy is a pretty big deal on the internet and has been for quite a while now.   I think he’s one of the bigger if not the biggest names in the “manosphere” and “pick up artist” community.  I’m not going to say that I completely *get* these worlds or Roosh, but I’ve seen enough to have something of a feel for it and him.  He’s made a name for himself by pushing buttons of the feminist and/or social justice warrior world.   I believe immediately before this he declined an interview with some silly news outlet unless the reporter offered to give him a blow job.

While there is an element of “trolling” to ROK, it’s not entirely without substance.   There is some good food for thought on issues that are uncomfortable to discuss for most such as gender roles, multiculturalism and challenging the liberal stranglehold on dialog in this country (i.e. the “SJW’s” who shame the world into accepting their narrative).   I think the thing that endears Roosh & Co. to their readers is that although men whisper about these topics among ourselves, they’re out in the open and being brazen about these views.   Although I don’t count myself as one of ROK’s fans (or detractors) and I have some reservations about the manosphere/pick up artist world, I think it IS a valuable service to speak up and challenge views that most people take for granted, regardless of what those views are.

So on to the article that got Roosh all the bad press….

About a year ago he put out an article where he said that rape should be legal on private property.   I remember seeing this article about three months ago and was able to easily tell that it was satire with maybe a dash of confrontational bravado.   The point of the article was valid – if women don’t want to be raped, they should think twice about doing things like hanging out with sketchy people, getting wasted and going to sketchy places and the belief that the law will protect them takes away an element of self-responsibility to not put yourself in bad situations.

The response to this article was predictably “Are you saying it’s womens’ fault???!?!” and “Why don’t you just tell men to not rape women!?!!?”.    Both valid points/questions, but I think the point being made was that if the kind of people talking about “rape culture”, misogyny and male privilege put that kind of effort into convincing other women to not do stupid things and put themselves in vulnerable situations by say, getting trashed at a frat party or going back to “party” with a bunch of people you just met at the bar, I’m sure the number of rapes would decrease.     Yes, you could tell men to stop raping people (and of course that is said all the time and yes it is important to say), but if I were a woman, I’d rather trust my ability to avoid potentially dangerous situations over trusting that someone else has had “don’t rape” ingrained into them.    If I remember the article right, Roosh was taking it in a direction that he feels like the people who talk the most about stopping rape seem to be more concerned with having an axe to grind with men over practical solutions to the problem.

 

Overall, I thought he made a pretty valid point in his satirical article.   I also think it’s a bigger problem in American society that people who claim to want problems solved seem to get hung up on throwing blame on whoever they see as being responsible over finding real solutions.   For example, many people who claim to be concerned about the environment live a lifestyle not all that dissimilar from the SUV driving evil Republicans in the suburbs who they view as the culprit but since they think the right thoughts and hope that the government/big business will fix the problem, they’re part of the solution.   For the Black Lives Matter people it’s easier to annoy regular middle class white people (which yeah, I admit IS funny) than to address dysfunction within their own community that costs way more black lives than wrongful police shootings.   We could go on with more examples of this kind of behavior….

I think I will go on with one more example that Roosh points out in the video…   Right now there’s a plague of rapes in Europe caused by the wave of migrants that flooded in over the summer and previous Islamic immigration.   Sweden now has one of the world’s highest rape rates.   Just the other day a 10 year old boy was raped by an Iraqi refugee in Austria.    It’s a difficult subject for the media to address because it goes against their narrative, but attacking a guy with a blog is a lot easier.   The same people who post clickbait articles about male privilege and microaggressions aren’t touching this with a 10 foot pole.    Good point, Roosh.

Anyways, back to the press conference video…  It’s worth a watch.   On some levels I lose a bit of sympathy for Roosh since part of his persona was to push these people’s buttons but he does a good job of calling these people out on their bullshit and let them know what kind of damage they did to him.

As far as Roosh goes, I think he’s fortunate that most of the outrage over his existence is a mile wide and an inch deep, just like a lot of other issues that come up in our media-concocted “Two Minutes Hate” each day.   By that I’m sure most of the people that say this saw nothing more than a headline and started foaming at the mouth (which of course IS understandable if you really think there’s a pro-rape rally in your town) and then in a week or so when someone else gets into their cross hairs, even more people will forget about it.   He’ll probably always have some level of fallout from this event, but the short attention spans that the media and their outrage culture have created will work in his benefit in the long run.

Here’s the video…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CD6ajfna7tE

Clinton and Cruz Cheating In The Iowa Caucus?

Several articles have come up accusing both candidates of fraud or at least very sketchy behavior in the Iowa Caucus.

 

First, let’s talk Hillary…

I guess the coin toss IS a real thing that’s in the books for the democrats when there is a split decision.   I was a little baffled by this too but I suppose it’s just as good of an answer as anything else in that situation.

I heard from a lot of people (mainly Bernie supporters) that most Democratic caucuses were ran by Hillary people.  Makes sense.  Usually it’s the elderly that do this kind of work.  I also heard from a lot of people that their caucuses were complete shit-shows and clusterfucks, maybe due to the record turnouts.   Some people made claims that counts were kind of shadowy between Hillary’s supporters and Bernie and that due to the long wait people were counted twice or not at all.

There was a video that surfaced on C Span of the caucus staff (in Hillary shirts) talking with Bernie’s precinct captain in a precinct that I think would’ve gone to Bernie (Roosevelt area in Des Moines.   Think LL Bean, ski trips and Dave Matthews Band) about the count where the Hillary lady claims there were more Hillary supporters than there actually were and you can see some tell-tale mannerisms of lying.    Other people said that they were short on new voter registration forms at the caucus site, which hurt Bernie (and Trump).

I’m sure Hillary’s people did fudge some numbers here and there.   I really, really think that the overall mentality of Hillary and her supporters towards Bernie’s camp was that they were a nuisance in the way of her destiny and not to be taken seriously.    Any success of Bernie would’ve been *wrong* and the result of just having a more aggressive ground game rather than being viable at the national level.   Basically Bernie winning would’ve been a fluke, rather than the “people’s will”.

One friend of mine described Hillary’s supporters at the caucus looking like “a bunch of constipated librarians and angry gym teachers” sneering at the Bernie supporters.   Another one talked about a Hillary supporter taunting the Bernie people as they came by.   I heard about a lot of shouting and animosity between the camps….

Another thing that I kept hearing was that the caucuses were often in split rooms.   Every time I’ve done it, it was in the same room.   This could just be a way to deal with the large crowds, since usually its done in a classroom or church or whatever.

Now on to Cruz…   The evangelical pull is stronger than I give it credit for in Iowa.   The evangelicals also liked Ben Carson.   I heard that many people’s decisions to switch from Carson to Cruz was made by the Cruz camp saying that Carson dropped out of the race that day.  I don’t know if that was the Cruz speech read at the caucus or what.  I heard some guy call in on the radio and say that and then the next day there were other reports of it.    Carson probably had 5% or something of support.   I know early on he was the strong favorite, above Trump and Cruz.

There’s also talk of the Microsoft counting machines favoring Rubio (who Microsoft supports…and probably the “GOP establishment” too).   His “strong third place finish” (in contrast to Trump’s “devastating second place finish”) was a little suspect, but I don’t know.   I didn’t hear much about him, but then again he comes off as less abrasive than Trump and Cruz with the “h’yuck, h’yuck, he can win!” aura to him.

 

So anyways, Cruz winning wasn’t all that surprising.  I figured it would be very close and it was, but I thought Trump would win.   Unfortunately for our Canadian friend he probably shot his wad here in Iowa and yeah, usually the Iowa Republican doesn’t go on to win it.

As far as Hillary goes, even if she didn’t benefit from shady tactics she only tied…and if there was foul play it’s pretty sad that tying was the best she could do.

I’m Not A Bernie Sanders Supporter, But….

…I do want to see the guy win the Democratic nomination and the Iowa Caucus.   Because the guy that’s not a crook or a commie won’t win and at the very least Bernie upsets the center left/center right apple cart a little bit.

So here we are on the day of the Iowa Caucus and here’s what I think will happen on the Democrat side:

Hilary’s people probably are shitting their pants right now over the prospect of her losing.  She’s acted like the nomination has been in the bag since day one and there’s probably a sense of “that’s not fair!” in her campaign that someone could outwork her in Iowa and if she loses it’s just because Bernie pushed it harder (which is of course the way you win elections…) and it won’t be viable on the national stage.   Or there’s a massive snowstorm coming in and the reason she’ll lose is because minorities and older people (her main supporters) couldn’t get out in the snow.

Anyways, they will try to win Iowa at the delegate level.   So she’ll (probably) lose the caucus, but she’ll try to arrange it so Hilary supporters will go on to be the delegates of their local caucus to the county and state Democrat caucus, where the votes actually count.   Ron Paul tried this last time around.

 

I have a feeling every precinct will have a smiling, smarmy baby-boomer there with a Hilary button shaking hands with the young people and telling them how great it is that they’re coming out to participate and applauding their enthusiasm, etc. to win them over and then volunteers to be the precinct delegate once the votes are tallied up.

If you’re a Bernie voter, make sure that one of your guys (or you) get picked as your delegate, especially if he wins your precinct.

I could see the same thing happening with Trump, with someone for a more “acceptable” candidate volunteers to be the delegate and learns that they can choose someone other than the candidate the precinct picked.      It’s completely above board, just a little on the sketchy side since most people probably figure that their precinct vote will go forward with the delegate.

Although I won’t be participating tonight, I’m looking forward to the results since we actually have something a little different than we normally would have on both sides.

It’s Iowa Caucus Time…

It’s that time of the election cycle again.   When you live in Iowa you’re subjected to call after call, door knock after door knock, ad after ad, etc.  Your mailbox is constantly flooded with large postcards with pictures of some candidate looking stern in a flannel shirt with the sleeves rolled up, listening intently to the deepest concerns of a couple of actors dressed like the typical Iowan.

Last time around there was a period of a couple of weeks where I would get called no less than once a day by the Ron Paul campaign to ask a question I already answered (if I was going to the Straw Poll – and I even bought tickets from them).   Then they would call and say they needed help with the phones.   One day I snapped and told them that no they fucking didn’t need help because they were able to call so much and they stopped calling after that.

This year I just got a few bullshit postcards and about half a dozen calls from some smarmy Jeff Spicoli-sounding millennials asking if I was going to go to some Rand Paul event.    No thanks.   I was a little upset that I didn’t get the Donald Trump postcard that everyone else seemed to get.

I did get held up in traffic by a Sanders rally though.   I’m notorious for getting to work with about 90 seconds to spare, so every little bit matters.  I left a few minutes early one day and in downtown they blocked off the street so all the Sanders supports could march with their drums and banners into Wells Fargo Arena and hear him speak.   While my attitude towards him and his supporters is usually something like “Oh, that’s cute…” I was screaming with rage about these communist cocksuckers that day.   I did make it to work with a few seconds to spare after some speeding and running.   Way to fuck over the working man, Bernie.

Usually there’s a lot of good free entertainment (either actual entertainment, celebrity spotting or just policy wonk kinda stuff).   One year I saw Chuck Berry play at a John Edwards rally and one year I saw Joan Jett play in a tiny coffeehouse for Howard Dean.  This year I didn’t hear about anything that interesting happening.

So it has me thinking…   Is the media/political establishment already downplaying the Iowa Caucus as a proactive measure to shrug off the (very real) possibility of Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump winning?   It seems like both parties (and the people at top that control them both!) have held their cards close on this one….they haven’t completely written it off, so if Hilary and/or Cruz whens they can still use it to their advantage.  But if Sanders/Trump wins, they can easily go down the “Iowa doesn’t matter” route” without going back on much.

Each year there’s always some talk about how something is wrong with the Iowa Caucus, usually that the state is too white to represent the rest of the country (we’re currently in the high 80’s percentage wise) or sometimes they’ll point to the high numbers of evangelicals (which probably isn’t that much higher than the nation as a whole, just a lot more than in New York City where the complaints come from).   Then they also point out a dismal record of Iowa picking the actual winner – I don’t know the numbers on this, but like most figures you can take what you want out of it.    Realistically the Iowa Caucus shouldn’t be seen as something that picks *the* winner, but it really narrows down the field and shatters some illusions on who is viable and who isn’t going forward.   If you can’t manage to run through a fairly small state and talk to “folks” at a couple dozen Pizza Ranch franchises and pick up some double digit support, you’re probably fucked nation-wide.

Anyways, I predict the hit pieces on Iowa will start rolling out tomorrow (Monday, 1/25) about how the results won’t matter because of aggressive ground campaigns in a small state don’t reflect feelings nationwide (Sanders), these people are too white, etc.    Then when/if Trump/Sanders wins, they’ll really, really, really come out and we’ll see articles about how “well, this is just the final nail in Iowa’s coffin!” and a lot of patronizing Trump-shaming (just made that up!) from the usual suspects in New York City.

Honestly, I’m looking forward to all the “shame on you!” editorials from all sides of the fence if we do pick Der Trumpenfuhrer.   They can all eat a dick and there’s a reason why people would go down the Trump route and that reason is because virtually everyone else “in the establishment” (media, politics) is so fucking god awful that we want a guy that sneers at them too.

On the Sanders note, I think that the Hilary creating the aura of “I’m already the candidate” has fucked her and it will backfire in Iowa.   Even if people like her, who will want to venture out from in front of the TV and into the cold to pick the “clear winner”?   Bernie’s people will come out.   They’re polling pretty close.   It’s easy to answer a poll, it takes a little more work to leave the house.

The way the Democrats do their caucus is a little different than the Republicans here… it’s almost kind of a last man standing thing.   So if there’s an even split between Hilary and Bernie and a couple O’Malley people, their group gets broken up and then they have to go choose another candidate to stand with.   His couple percent could be very interesting!   I’d imagine you would go for him if you think Bernie’s a socialist loon and Hilary is well, Hilary.

I also predict that both parties have a plan B in the way of making sure that delegates to represent the individual caucuses get picked that support one of the more legitimate candidates.  The results of the caucus goes to the county and state party conventions.   The delegate doesn’t necessarily have to vote for the person their caucus picked.   The Ron Paul folks tried this strategy and the state GOP nearly shit their pants when they figured out what was going on.

So I’ll say that if you’re a Bernie or Trump supporter, make sure that the delegate is someone from your camp.

Me personally I probably won’t be participating.  I have to work.  It is likely that I could get off early that night, but I’d feel kind of silly missing half a day for it.  I want to see how Trump’s candidacy plays out in the discussions before voting….and the caucuses really are a good time to meet people in your immediate area.

I would vote for Trump (*gasp!!!*)   Yeah, I know.   Wow, just wow.  I can’t even.   While I don’t completely trust the guy or believe that he can really change things, I do like the main tenants of his policy – economic populism and curbing immigration.   No, we’re not going to get Mexico to build a wall and honestly I think Islamic immigration to the United States isn’t really *that* big of an issue.   I live in an urban area and rarely see a Middle Eastern Muslim in my day-to-day life.  We have scarier people lurking among us already and realistically I’m probably several times more likely to be harmed by Hispanic immigrants than Islamic immigrants.

Anyways, we’ll see how this plays out when/if the non-acceptable candidates win.    While I don’t support Bernie, I’ll say good luck to those guys.   At the very least I appreciate that he’ll bring up some issues and views outside of mainstream politics

1 2 3 25